Skip to content
  • About
  • Contact
  • Contribute
  • What Physicians Say
  • My Book
  • Careers
  • Podcast
  • Speaking
KevinMD.com — Social media's leading physician voice
  • All
  • Physician
  • Burnout
  • Practice
  • Policy
  • Finance
  • Conditions
  • .edu
  • Patient
  • Meds
  • Tech
  • Social
  • All
  • Physician
  • Burnout
  • Practice
  • Policy
  • Finance
  • Conditions
  • .edu
  • Patient
  • Meds
  • Tech
  • Social
    • All
    • Physician
    • Burnout
    • Practice
    • Policy
    • Finance
    • Conditions
    • .edu
    • Patient
    • Meds
    • Tech
    • Social
    • About
    • Contact
    • Contribute
    • What Physicians Say
    • My Book
    • Careers
    • Podcast
    • Speaking
KevinMD.com — Social media's leading physician voice
  • All
  • Physician
  • Burnout
  • Practice
  • Policy
  • Finance
  • Conditions
  • .edu
  • Patient
  • Meds
  • Tech
  • Social
    • All
    • Physician
    • Burnout
    • Practice
    • Policy
    • Finance
    • Conditions
    • .edu
    • Patient
    • Meds
    • Tech
    • Social
    • About
    • Contact
    • Contribute
    • What Physicians Say
    • My Book
    • Careers
    • Podcast
    • Speaking
  • About Kevin Pho, MD, Founder of KevinMD
  • Aging and dementia: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Artificial intelligence: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Be heard on social media’s leading physician voice
  • Board certification: what physicians say about the boards and MOC, in their own words
  • Cancer: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Children’s health: what pediatricians say, in their own words
  • Contact Kevin
  • COVID-19: what physicians wrote as it happened
  • Custom enhanced author page pricing
  • Diabetes and obesity: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Direct primary care: what physicians say, in their own words
  • DMCA Policy
  • End of life: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Establishing, Managing, and Protecting Your Online Reputation: A Social Media Guide for Physicians and Medical Practices
  • GLP-1 drugs: what physicians say about Ozempic and its successors, in their own words
  • Heart disease: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Immigration and medicine: what physicians say about immigrant doctors and immigrant patients, in their own words
  • KevinMD influencer opportunities
  • Medical errors: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Medical ethics: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Medical malpractice: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Medical school: what students and physicians say, in their own words
  • Mental health: what psychiatrists and physicians say, in their own words
  • Nursing: what nurses and physicians say, in their own words
  • Opinion and commentary by KevinMD
  • Opioids: what physicians and pain patients say, in their own words
  • Physician burnout speakers to keynote your conference
  • Physician burnout: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Physician careers: what physicians say about jobs, contracts, and leaving clinical practice, in their own words
  • Physician Coaching by KevinMD
  • Physician keynote speaker: Kevin Pho, MD
  • Physician personal finance: what physicians say about their own money, in their own words
  • Physician Speaking by KevinMD: a boutique speakers bureau
  • Physician suicide: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Physicians and administrators: what physicians say about who runs medicine, in their own words
  • Primary care physician in Nashua, NH | Kevin Pho, MD
  • Primary care: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Prior authorization: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Privacy Policy
  • Private equity and corporate medicine: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Race and medicine: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Recommended services by KevinMD
  • Residency: what residents and attendings say, in their own words
  • Scope of practice: what physicians, nurse practitioners, and PAs say, in their own words
  • Subscribe to the KevinMD enhanced author page
  • Subscribe to the newsletter
  • Surgeons and surgery: what surgeons say, in their own words
  • Take-home messages: what physicians say when asked to leave one
  • Terms of Use Agreement
  • Thank you for subscribing to KevinMD
  • Thank you for upgrading to the KevinMD enhanced author page
  • The electronic health record: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Vaccines: what physicians say, in their own words
  • Violence against health care workers: what physicians and nurses say, in their own words
  • What physicians say: the KevinMD records
  • Women in medicine: what women physicians say, in their own words
  • Women’s health: what physicians say, in their own words

What will it take to reduce physician wait times?

Robert Pearl, MD
Physician
December 23, 2014
Share
Tweet
Share

shutterstock_149644169

Everything in health care seems to take a long time.

Remember the last time you tried to schedule a routine doctor’s appointment? More than likely, the receptionist told you the doctor couldn’t see you for another week or even another month.

Perhaps you’ve had the experience of a loved one being hospitalized on a Friday night for a major (but not life-threatening) problem, but who waited until Monday to go to the operating room.

Ask physicians about these delays and they’ll likely describe them as “necessary evils,” a consequence of having to reserve time in their daily schedules for patients with urgent problems. Doctors could never provide immediate care to the sickest patients if they tried to accommodate the schedules of all patients, they’d say.

There’s some truth to both claims. But they are far from complete explanations of patient delays. People today expect their services to be performed quickly yet health care is frequently an exception. The thing is, it doesn’t have to be this way.

Is the problem too few physicians?

In some places, namely rural and medically underserved areas, there is a shortage of physicians. This is especially true for specialists and sub-specialist care providers.

In these areas, there is simply not enough supply to meet demand. There, physician shortages commonly lead to unavoidable delays.

Individuals in rural areas understand this reality. Rather than wait, they frequently choose to travel long distances to major cities for their routine medical care. Those in economically challenged and medically underserved communities often find themselves with no choice but to forgo medical care altogether.

This is not the case in most urban areas. If managed efficiently and effectively, there are enough physicians to treat the population’s total needs. In these well-staffed places, every patient should be able to see a provider in a timely manner for routine care, as well as for urgent problems.

But patients in these communities often experience similar delays. In this case, it’s not an issue of too few physicians but rather a failure of health care system design. Queue theory mathematics helps explain the difficulty and offers potential solutions.

The “n of 1″ problem

Mathematicians recognize that even when there is enough supply to match average demand, delays are frequent because of variations in daily and weekly demand.

As we would predict, individual physicians, particularly specialists who work as solo practitioners, receive many more referrals and appointment requests in some weeks than others.

ADVERTISEMENT

But of course, during weeks when one community physician has more referrals than he or she can see, there likely are other physicians in that same specialty and community who have lower demand.

The result is that patients in one doctor’s practice are waiting to be seen while a second doctor is only partially scheduled. And in this example, the reason that one is busy and one is available has little to do with patient preference. It’s a matter of chance.

And when every physician needs to reserve appointments for last-minute urgent care, people with more routine needs end up waiting even longer.

Queue theory demonstrates that when variation in demand is relatively low at the community level, it is extremely high at the individual physician level. When doctors work together as one, they can manage this variation effectively. But when each physician works independently (N of 1), then queue theory predicts that patients inevitably will wait for care even though specialty expertise is readily available nearby.

Reducing wait times requires collaboration, cooperation

Queue theory points out the consequences of variation in demand within the context of a single health care provider’s practice. To better understand the problem and the solutions, let’s take the example of a grocery store.

In most stores, patrons decide which check-out counter to use. In general, they pick the counter with the shortest line.

But imagine if patrons were assigned a specific check-out stand when they first walked through the door. What they might find is that their pre-assigned lane is long while other clerks have no customers at all.

It sounds absurd to imagine running a grocery store this way. But de facto, this is how most of the health care industry operates. On days when one physician in a town is fully scheduled, there are others in the area whose schedules are wide open.

To address the variation in demand, queue theory offers two solutions. Community doctors could allow all patients to view their schedules so patients can select the physician they wanted to see that day based on availability.

Alternatively, physicians could form a single medical group of highly qualified individuals and schedule each patient to see the first available doctor who was trained to care for his or her problem, usually on the same day. But today, neither of these solutions are offered in most communities. The reason is economics.

Doctors in fee-for-service medicine are paid for each visit. As a result, they’d fear the loss of personal revenue every time a patient saw another doctor.

Therefore, patients with routine problems end up waiting when they don’t have to.

The “five-day mindset” in hospitals

Hospital delays have a different cause.

Hospital administrators and physicians try to maximize care on weekdays and limit care to medical emergencies on weekends. That’s because doctors, nurses, and staff are reluctant to work on weekends for personal reasons, and would rather wait until Monday to provide routine treatment.

In most communities, only one physician from each specialty is assigned to deliver care on weekends while on-call nurses and technicians provide only emergent diagnostic and interventional services on Saturdays and Sundays. When the single, on-call doctor for a particular specialty is in the operating room performing an emergency surgery, all of the patients in the emergency room whose problems are not as severe are forced to wait.

And if a stable patient admitted Sunday morning requires a complex radiology test or a non-emergency surgical procedure, the department manager may decide not to call in the standby team over the weekend, preferring to wait until Monday.

That’s why patients admitted on Friday night or over the weekend end up staying longer than patients admitted for the same problem Monday through Thursday.

But what is considered a medically appropriate delay can have negative consequences for patients. Hospital delays increase the risk of a patient experiencing an avoidable complication, such as a hospital-acquired infection or delirium. And in some cases, the added time may allow the patient’s condition to worsen.

Once again, there is a mathematical solution. Delays could be minimized without increasing costs if hospitals evened out staffing across all seven days.

But doctors, nurses and technical staff prefer the five-day model.

Ask doctors about the weekends, and they assure you they’re always available to provide “emergency care.” But providing routine care sooner – and thereby decreasing the risks to patients while lowering total cost – isn’t their imperative. And the medical culture supports this view.

Patient awareness is the key to change

Many patients accept delays in health care because they don’t realize anything else is possible.

Change is possible but never easy. Doctors would need to implement new systems and technologies that allow patients to see the first available physician. And hospitals would need to confront the five-day model and deal with unhappy physicians, nurses, and staff.

But once patients experienced this level of control over their health care, they’d never accept today’s delays again. We are entering a new era of consumerism. People want the same level of convenience from health care they experience elsewhere in their lives. And the best part is that with a few changes, they can have it.

Robert Pearl is a physician and CEO, The Permanente Medical Group. This article originally appeared on Forbes.com. 

Image credit: Shutterstock.com

Prev

Fix the problem of expert testimony

December 22, 2014 Kevin 1
…
Next

Never sleep with your baby: Has that advice backfired?

December 23, 2014 Kevin 1
…

Tagged as: Primary Care

< Previous Post
Fix the problem of expert testimony
Next Post >
Never sleep with your baby: Has that advice backfired?

 

ADVERTISEMENT

More by Robert Pearl, MD

  • The emotional toll of a broken health care system

    Robert Pearl, MD
  • Medicare’s cobra effect: How a well-intentioned policy spiraled into a health care crisis

    Robert Pearl, MD
  • Empowering patients: Navigating medical information with AI

    Robert Pearl, MD

More in Physician

  • Why I wrote an emergency medicine novel about 1 night

    Matt Barmmer, MD
  • Knowledge is not judgment: why patients still trust doctors

    AI and clinical judgment: why patients still trust doctors

    Jennifer Miles-Thomas, MD, MBA
  • Moral injury in medicine is an odyssey without Ithaca

    Farid Sabet-Sharghi, MD
  • AI and assisted dying raise questions of accountability

    Deepak Gupta, MD
  • Losing your doctor: the grief no health system notices

    Timothy Lesaca, MD
  • A national hotline could track bias in physician discipline

    Babajide Ogunseinde, MD
  • Most Popular

  • Past Week

    • Retirement isn’t the end of medicine, it’s a second act [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • The conflict of interest that discloses as nothing

      Martha Rosenberg | Medications
    • Why the family medical history lives with women caregivers

      Dr. Malika Gupta | Physician
    • Patient communication ends when the patient understands

      Diane Bruno | Patient
    • Staying salaried may now be the riskier bet for doctors [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • How CREST-2 changes asymptomatic carotid stenosis treatment

      John R. Laird, Jr., MD | Conditions and Diseases
  • Past 6 Months

    • Why CDC opioid guidelines get the overdose data wrong

      Richard A. Lawhern, PhD | Conditions and Diseases
    • Retirement isn’t the end of medicine, it’s a second act [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • Sensory processing in autism and the brain’s volume control

      Josette Pelatan, PhD | Conditions and Diseases
    • What maternity care deserts cost a town

      Manisha Kaliaperumal | Health Policy
    • Why medicine needs a national physician license now

      Vaishali Popat, MD, MPH | Physician
    • A cold cost $945. The cost of primary care is broken.

      Susan Newman, MD | Physician
  • Recent Posts

    • Staying salaried may now be the riskier bet for doctors [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • Why I wrote an emergency medicine novel about 1 night

      Matt Barmmer, MD | Physician
    • Health data privacy with AI starts before you press send

      Michael Neely | Health Technology
    • Oluyemisi Famuyiwa, MD, on fertility and PCOS: a KevinMD subscriber spotlight

      Oluyemisi Famuyiwa, MD, on fertility and PCOS: a KevinMD subscriber spotlight

      Kevin Pho, MD | KevinMD
    • Knowledge is not judgment: why patients still trust doctors

      AI and clinical judgment: why patients still trust doctors

      Jennifer Miles-Thomas, MD, MBA | Physician
    • Moral injury in medicine is an odyssey without Ithaca

      Farid Sabet-Sharghi, MD | Physician

Subscribe to KevinMD and never miss a story!

Get free updates delivered free to your inbox.


Find jobs at
Careers by KevinMD.com

Search thousands of physician, PA, NP, and CRNA jobs now.

Learn more

View 28 Comments >

Founded in 2004 by Kevin Pho, MD, KevinMD.com is the web’s leading platform where physicians, advanced practitioners, nurses, medical students, and patients share their insight and tell their stories.

Social

  • Like on Facebook
  • Follow on Twitter
  • Connect on Linkedin
  • Subscribe on Youtube
  • Instagram

ADVERTISEMENT

  • Most Popular

  • Past Week

    • Retirement isn’t the end of medicine, it’s a second act [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • The conflict of interest that discloses as nothing

      Martha Rosenberg | Medications
    • Why the family medical history lives with women caregivers

      Dr. Malika Gupta | Physician
    • Patient communication ends when the patient understands

      Diane Bruno | Patient
    • Staying salaried may now be the riskier bet for doctors [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • How CREST-2 changes asymptomatic carotid stenosis treatment

      John R. Laird, Jr., MD | Conditions and Diseases
  • Past 6 Months

    • Why CDC opioid guidelines get the overdose data wrong

      Richard A. Lawhern, PhD | Conditions and Diseases
    • Retirement isn’t the end of medicine, it’s a second act [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • Sensory processing in autism and the brain’s volume control

      Josette Pelatan, PhD | Conditions and Diseases
    • What maternity care deserts cost a town

      Manisha Kaliaperumal | Health Policy
    • Why medicine needs a national physician license now

      Vaishali Popat, MD, MPH | Physician
    • A cold cost $945. The cost of primary care is broken.

      Susan Newman, MD | Physician
  • Recent Posts

    • Staying salaried may now be the riskier bet for doctors [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • Why I wrote an emergency medicine novel about 1 night

      Matt Barmmer, MD | Physician
    • Health data privacy with AI starts before you press send

      Michael Neely | Health Technology
    • Oluyemisi Famuyiwa, MD, on fertility and PCOS: a KevinMD subscriber spotlight

      Oluyemisi Famuyiwa, MD, on fertility and PCOS: a KevinMD subscriber spotlight

      Kevin Pho, MD | KevinMD
    • Knowledge is not judgment: why patients still trust doctors

      AI and clinical judgment: why patients still trust doctors

      Jennifer Miles-Thomas, MD, MBA | Physician
    • Moral injury in medicine is an odyssey without Ithaca

      Farid Sabet-Sharghi, MD | Physician

Copyright © 2026 KevinMD.com | Powered by Astra WordPress Theme

  • Terms of Use Agreement
  • Privacy Policy
  • DMCA Policy
All Content © KevinMD, LLC
Site by Outthink Group

What will it take to reduce physician wait times?
28 comments

Comments are moderated before they are published. Please read the comment policy.

Loading Comments...