Skip to content
  • About
  • Contact
  • Contribute
  • Book
  • Careers
  • Podcast
  • Recommended
  • Speaking
  • All
  • Physician
  • Practice
  • Policy
  • Finance
  • Conditions
  • .edu
  • Patient
  • Meds
  • Tech
  • Social
  • Video
    • All
    • Physician
    • Practice
    • Policy
    • Finance
    • Conditions
    • .edu
    • Patient
    • Meds
    • Tech
    • Social
    • Video
    • About
    • Contact
    • Contribute
    • Book
    • Careers
    • Podcast
    • Recommended
    • Speaking

Can AI solve the physician shortage crisis?

Harry Severance, MD
Tech
March 19, 2023
Share
Tweet
Share

A 2021 Merritt Hawkins article reports increasing physician shortfalls in the U.S. while pointing out that almost 50 percent of all currently practicing physicians are older than 55. In some medical specialties, the “greater-than-55” physician numbers are between 60 to 90+ percent.

Similar findings have been confirmed in an updated January 2023 Becker’s Hospital Review article. These recent reports estimate that there will be a shortfall of between 54,000 and 139,000 U.S. physicians by 2033. To add to the problem, the U.S. does not currently train enough physicians to meet even existing demand, much less the coming bulge as 76 million baby boomers continue to develop increasing health care needs.

Health care worker “imports”

For decades, the U.S. has relied on importing physicians and nurses from other countries to fill our increasing demands. Part of the rationale for this importation is that it leaves most of the burden of the expensive training costs for physicians and nurses to other countries. Since 1997, Congress has not agreed on a pathway to further fund graduate medical education. (Read the writer’s further comments here.) Congress in 2021 finally agreed to fund 1000 new resident positions – not nearly enough.

However, with an increasing worldwide shortage of physicians, other countries, such as the European Union, are now out-competing us in recruiting these same “importable” physicians and nurses. (Read the writer’s further comments here.)

Workplace dissatisfaction leading to further shortfalls

We now face an even greater shortfall as more of our mid-career physicians and other health care workers report dissatisfaction with the status of their current health care workplace and have quit health care for other careers. Up to 20 percent of the U.S. health care workforce is reported to have already left health care (up to 4 to 5 million workers), with more on the way out.

An AI solution?

We have seen that artificial (AI) intelligence systems such as ChatGPT can now pass College exams and medical licensing tests, carry on interactive conversations with humans, answer complicated medical and other questions, independently generate content, and write articles such as exam essays. AI bots are now conducting initial interactive jobseeker interviews “and make a decision right then.”
AI can now better identify abnormalities in ECGs and imaging studies than many “expert” physician readers. In addition, AI systems such as ChatGPT are showing exponential growth and adoption in all sectors.

In a recent op-ed piece, Dr. Robert Pearl discusses five ways ChatGPT and similar AI systems will change health care forever. These are:

  1. By becoming exponentially faster and more powerful
  2. By emulating how doctors make clinical decisions
  3. By providing around-the-clock medical assistance
  4. By preventing medical errors
  5. By helping all doctors perform like the best doctors

If human workforce and workplace issues continue to go unaddressed?

Though our physician and nursing workforce issues are potentially fixable — what if the U.S. remains unable to summon a unified political/economic/health care will to work together to find a human solution — as they have failed to do over the past 20 years? With many hospitals and health care systems struggling financially, there is growing frustration among many corporate and private equity health care leaders over the worsening shortfall in physicians and other health care workers and the long-term failure to produce solutions.

Private equity companies have already replaced physicians with non-physician providers and obtained financial successes. What rate-limiting steps would have to be overcome or bypassed by motivated companies to use AI for various previously physician-driven functions? Perhaps the future of health care delivery is in AI — and sooner than we think.

Harry Severance is an emergency physician.

ADVERTISEMENT

Prev

Breaking barriers in arthritis care with telemedicine [PODCAST]

March 18, 2023 Kevin 0
…
Next

Breaking the stigma: Addressing the struggles of physicians

March 19, 2023 Kevin 2
…

Tagged as: Health IT, Public Health & Policy

Post navigation

< Previous Post
Breaking barriers in arthritis care with telemedicine [PODCAST]
Next Post >
Breaking the stigma: Addressing the struggles of physicians

ADVERTISEMENT

More by Harry Severance, MD

  • Why nearly 800 U.S. hospitals are at risk of shutting down

    Harry Severance, MD
  • The hidden cost of a medical career: Is it still worth it?

    Harry Severance, MD
  • Violence in health care: Why doctors and nurses are leaving

    Harry Severance, MD

Related Posts

  • The health care system will cause its own physician shortage

    Advait Suvarnakar and Aashka Suvarnakar
  • How to tackle the physician shortage

    Sujan Gogu, DO and Aishwarya Sivaramakrishnan
  • Are negative news cycles and social media injurious to our health?

    Rabia Jalal, MD
  • Parallel thinking won’t solve problems in health care

    Paul Pender, MD
  • Health care needs more physician CEOs

    Alexi Nazem, MD
  • How social media can help or hurt your health care career

    Health eCareers

More in Tech

  • How I stopped typing notes and started seeing my patients again

    William S. Micka, MD
  • How AI is reshaping preventive medicine

    Jalene Jacob, MD, MBA
  • Why clinicians must lead health care tech innovation

    Kimberly Smith, RN
  • Why medical notes have become billing scripts instead of patient stories

    Sriman Swarup, MD, MBA
  • a desk with keyboard and ipad with the kevinmd logo

    AI in health care is moving too fast for the human heart

    Tiffiny Black, DM, MPA, MBA
  • Why AI in health care needs the same scrutiny as chemotherapy

    Rafael Rolon Rivera, MD
  • Most Popular

  • Past Week

    • The human case for preserving the nipple after mastectomy

      Thomas Amburn, MD | Conditions
    • Nuclear verdicts and rising costs: How inflation is reshaping medical malpractice claims

      Robert E. White, Jr. & The Doctors Company | Policy
    • How new loan caps could destroy diversity in medical education

      Caleb Andrus-Gazyeva | Policy
    • IMGs are the future of U.S. primary care

      Adam Brandon Bondoc, MD | Physician
    • From nurse practitioner to leader in quality improvement [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • The crushing bureaucracy that’s driving independent physicians to extinction

      Scott Tzorfas, MD | Physician
  • Past 6 Months

    • Health equity in Inland Southern California requires urgent action

      Vishruth Nagam | Policy
    • How restrictive opioid policies worsen the crisis

      Kayvan Haddadan, MD | Physician
    • Why primary care needs better dermatology training

      Alex Siauw | Conditions
    • New student loan caps could shut low-income students out of medicine

      Tom Phan, MD | Physician
    • Why pain doctors face unfair scrutiny and harsh penalties in California

      Kayvan Haddadan, MD | Physician
    • Love, birds, and fries: a story of innocence and connection

      Dr. Damane Zehra | Physician
  • Recent Posts

    • Healing from medical training by learning to trust your body again [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • How tragedy shaped a medical career

      Ronald L. Lindsay, MD | Physician
    • A doctor’s guide to preparing for your death

      Joseph Pepe, MD | Physician
    • Coconut oil’s role in Alzheimer’s and depression

      Marc Arginteanu, MD | Conditions
    • How policy and stigma block addiction treatment

      Mariana Ndrio, MD | Physician
    • Unused IV catheters cost U.S. hospitals billions

      Piyush Pillarisetti | Policy

Subscribe to KevinMD and never miss a story!

Get free updates delivered free to your inbox.


Find jobs at
Careers by KevinMD.com

Search thousands of physician, PA, NP, and CRNA jobs now.

Learn more

Leave a Comment

Founded in 2004 by Kevin Pho, MD, KevinMD.com is the web’s leading platform where physicians, advanced practitioners, nurses, medical students, and patients share their insight and tell their stories.

Social

  • Like on Facebook
  • Follow on Twitter
  • Connect on Linkedin
  • Subscribe on Youtube
  • Instagram

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

  • Most Popular

  • Past Week

    • The human case for preserving the nipple after mastectomy

      Thomas Amburn, MD | Conditions
    • Nuclear verdicts and rising costs: How inflation is reshaping medical malpractice claims

      Robert E. White, Jr. & The Doctors Company | Policy
    • How new loan caps could destroy diversity in medical education

      Caleb Andrus-Gazyeva | Policy
    • IMGs are the future of U.S. primary care

      Adam Brandon Bondoc, MD | Physician
    • From nurse practitioner to leader in quality improvement [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • The crushing bureaucracy that’s driving independent physicians to extinction

      Scott Tzorfas, MD | Physician
  • Past 6 Months

    • Health equity in Inland Southern California requires urgent action

      Vishruth Nagam | Policy
    • How restrictive opioid policies worsen the crisis

      Kayvan Haddadan, MD | Physician
    • Why primary care needs better dermatology training

      Alex Siauw | Conditions
    • New student loan caps could shut low-income students out of medicine

      Tom Phan, MD | Physician
    • Why pain doctors face unfair scrutiny and harsh penalties in California

      Kayvan Haddadan, MD | Physician
    • Love, birds, and fries: a story of innocence and connection

      Dr. Damane Zehra | Physician
  • Recent Posts

    • Healing from medical training by learning to trust your body again [PODCAST]

      The Podcast by KevinMD | Podcast
    • How tragedy shaped a medical career

      Ronald L. Lindsay, MD | Physician
    • A doctor’s guide to preparing for your death

      Joseph Pepe, MD | Physician
    • Coconut oil’s role in Alzheimer’s and depression

      Marc Arginteanu, MD | Conditions
    • How policy and stigma block addiction treatment

      Mariana Ndrio, MD | Physician
    • Unused IV catheters cost U.S. hospitals billions

      Piyush Pillarisetti | Policy

MedPage Today Professional

An Everyday Health Property Medpage Today
  • Terms of Use | Disclaimer
  • Privacy Policy
  • DMCA Policy
All Content © KevinMD, LLC
Site by Outthink Group

Leave a Comment

Comments are moderated before they are published. Please read the comment policy.

Loading Comments...