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The timeless art of diagnostic reasoning

Sandip Pandey
Physician
October 11, 2025
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The patient was in her forties. She experienced chest pain, but it did not appear to be “classic.” Her ECG was normal. Her labs did not raise alarms. The team leaned toward anxiety. Hours later, she went into cardiac arrest from a heart attack. That silence after the code still stays with me. We anchored on the first test. We closed the case too early. We stopped listening to her story. This moment reminded me that diagnostic reasoning, the core of medicine, has always been fragile. Tools change. Biases persist.

From shamans to Hippocrates

Long before stethoscopes and CT scans, healers relied on their observation and intuition. Shamans believed that diseases came from spirits but practiced a kind of pattern recognition. They noticed fever, seizures, or wounds and linked them to survival or decline in health. Then came Hippocrates. He pushed medicine away from the realm of superstition. He urged careful listening, detailed note-taking, and comparisons across patients. He showed that medicine is reasoning, not magic.

The lesson remains clear. Patients are more than just lab values. They are stories.

Lessons from history

In the Middle Ages, Avicenna built a system of reasoning that shaped physicians for centuries to come. The Renaissance added anatomy and dissection. William Osler taught generations to use broad differentials, test hypotheses, and reflect on errors. However, reflection remains vital. This is what allows us to grow from missed cases. It ties us not only to our training but also to a lineage of physicians who have faced the same challenges.

Technology improves, but biases endure.

The twentieth century brought X-rays, ECGs, CT scans, and a flood of lab tests. These gave us the clarity that earlier doctors could only imagine. However, they also created new traps. I have seen colleagues and myself trust a test when the patient’s story said otherwise. Anchoring. Premature closure. Confirmation bias. These errors echo throughout history. Regardless of how advanced the tool is, reasoning remains a human task.

The rise of AI

Another revolution is underway. AI can analyze thousands of images within seconds. It can identify subtle findings and rare patterns in the data. In some cases, it outperformed human interpretation. It is tempting to think that machines can provide answers. However, history warns us against blind trust. Just as early physicians relied too much on humor or primitive tests, we now risk automation bias.

AI cannot hear the sighs in a patient’s voice. It does not notice hesitation before answering. It cannot place the findings in the context of stress or grief. These details often matter most.

The enduring art of diagnosis

What strikes me is the consistency of the challenge. Shamans searched for meaning. Hippocrates emphasized observation. Osler urged reflection. AI offers speed. However, the essence of diagnosis remains the same: combining data, intuition, and human judgment. For students, this means learning to balance technology and critical thinking. For practicing physicians, it means asking, “Am I listening to the patient, or only to the computer?”

Diagnosis is not merely solving a puzzle. It is humility. Every mistake reminds us that medicine is unpredictable. Our task is not to erase this uncertainty but to face it with care.

What we must carry forward

As we welcome AI, we should also carry forward the lessons from history.

  • Listen first. A patient’s story is the foundation.
  • Reflect often. Mistakes teach more than success.
  • Question the machine. Tools support judgment but never replace it.

The evolution of diagnostic reasoning does not involve the replacement of humans with technology. It is about tools that enhance what humans do best: think, listen, and care.

Conclusion

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The woman with chest pain changed how I approach patients. A normal test does not imply closure. Tools are only a part of the story. From shamans to Hippocrates, Osler, and AI, medicine has always been about making sense of uncertainty. Instruments are becoming more powerful, but our responsibility remains the same. We must remain curious, reflective, and humble. At its core, diagnosis is more than just data. It is a dialogue. Between doctors and patients. Between intuition and analysis: between history and the future.

Sandip Pandey is a physician in Nepal.

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