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Statistics are not destiny: a story of hope in oncology

Juan Carden, MD
Physician
June 17, 2026
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I arrived at the office early that morning. The hospital still carried that mixture of stale coffee, disinfectant, and human exhaustion that exists only in medical corridors before eight in the morning. When I opened the door to the first examination room, I smiled peacefully. There sat Leon and Ilana. I had known them for so many years that it was impossible to remember when we had stopped addressing each other formally.

Leon had been one of those physicians who seemed built to survive everything. Director of the hospital’s intensive care units, brilliant, quick-minded, admired by residents and nurses who followed him through the hallways like disciples behind an ancient master. He was only forty-five years old when the tragedy began, the age at which a man still believes his body belongs entirely to him.

Leon had been born in Poland at the end of the Second World War. His childhood was marked by that devastated continent where fear and silence were part of daily life. His family managed to escape, and later they lived in Frankfurt. His father had been one of those Jews who, even in the midst of persecution and terror, helped hide, protect, and facilitate the escape of hundreds of other Jews. He was captured and sent to a concentration camp. Against all odds, he survived and, at the end of the war, was liberated. Perhaps that is why, years later, when I watched Leon fighting cancer, I always had the impression that in that family there existed an almost genetic determination to survive.

I remember perfectly how it began. A vague pain in his back. Nothing extraordinary. An informal consultation with a cardiologist friend in the middle of a hallway. An X-ray is ordered almost routinely. And then, silence.

The metastases were in the spine and pelvis.

In medicine, there are moments when the diagnosis enters the room before the words do. One sees it in the eyes of the colleague reviewing the films, in the way he avoids looking directly at the patient. Then came the definitive studies: advanced renal carcinoma, lymph node involvement, and bones invaded, disseminated disease.

In those years, there was a fierce debate about whether the kidney should be removed in a patient who already had metastases. Some argued that it was useless; others believed that reducing the tumor burden could offer some immunological advantage. We decided to operate. The kidney was removed.

Afterward, I referred him to my alma mater, the university hospital in Houston, searching for something that, in oncology, is sometimes more important than medication: the smallest crack of hope. There, a young fellow reviewed the studies, examined Leon, and said with the brutal honesty that young physicians often possess before they learn to disguise their sentences: “Unfortunately, nothing can be done for you. You have metastases everywhere.”

It was true, of course. But medical truth does not always coincide with destiny.

Somebody suggested that he speak with Dr. Mavligit, one of my former mentors. I still remember his office filled with outdated journals and radiographs hanging like luminous shadows. Mavligit made no promises of miracles. Good physicians rarely do. But he activated a chain of consultations: neurosurgery, orthopedics, palliative radiotherapy.

Several dorsal and lumbar vertebrae were removed. A metal structure was placed to support his spine. I saw the postoperative images and thought that man now seemed held together by a mixture of steel and determination.

Months later, he returned to my office, still weak, walking slowly. At that time, we were beginning to experiment with primitive interleukin-2 protocols: interferon, treatments rudimentary by today’s standards, though they seemed to announce a new era. He accepted the protocol.

And something happened that none of us expected. The pelvic lesions began to diminish. Slowly at first, almost imperceptibly. Then more clearly. Every CT scan showed fewer shadows. Every bone scan revealed less tumoral activity.

One year later, the metastases had practically disappeared. He never relapsed.

I have presented the case at conferences for years. Some colleagues listened with interest; others with discreet scientific disbelief. Because metastatic renal cancer in those years did not behave that way. It was not supposed to. The medical literature was filled with grim statistics and cruel survival curves. Leon seemed like a footnote written by God in an oncology textbook.

I watched him sitting before me that morning. He walked with difficulty, supporting himself slightly as he stood, but he was alive. More than that: He was still Leon. He retained his dry irony, his quick intelligence, and that way of listening that made anyone speaking feel important.

Juan Carden is a hematologist-oncologist.

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